Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 71 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 6 July 2026 at 18:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 8th strongest of the 55 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 6 July 2026. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued July 5 at 7:45PM CDT until July 6 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Chicago IL
Urban PEI: 281,859 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 11 March 2026
- March 11, 2026 · score 49 · 8.9 km
- June 10, 2026 · score 67 · 10.5 km
- June 14, 2026 · score 32 · 11.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 41.4359, -89.9972 |
| Nearest City | East Moline (38 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 281.9K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-08T06:00:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9b28d703b27e5e5a0405dabd61f52052 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-08T06:00:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-06T01:28:03.015Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Cook, IL; Cook, IL; Lake, IN; DuPage, IL; Will, IL and 15 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued July 5 at 7:45PM CDT until July 6 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Chicago IL |
| Expires | 2026-07-06T13:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Chicago IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 22 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9b28d703b27e5e5a0405dabd61f520526f2dc88e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9b28d703b27e5e5a0405dabd61f520526f2dc88e.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d4b34c8b9e78fbf90c9ee023d5f35e157227a47f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.66a2de855ce2b27eaf09197331f4215b702d9c0e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0616387858b207d0cacb9ada318554df6b91f4d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ff3ef4375a1d86d02801a670fe5368e41c69168.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ff3ef4375a1d86d02801a670fe5368e41c69168.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a1350b64e76826bd513573d020856d4f95022f49.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a1350b64e76826bd513573d020856d4f95022f49.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a1350b64e76826bd513573d020856d4f95022f49.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c805299f514b04b9ef274e18d8d1de2ac839f783.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d475e7bf8a142444e900a672796c20c70f3632f1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.125e249d304928225a2947b6455ffd67330df0db.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0975f21e08245658cdae084597779d21d48f19d5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ed1b6a939a10748d6d2489ab3a0b941640b9d267.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ed1b6a939a10748d6d2489ab3a0b941640b9d267.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ed1b6a939a10748d6d2489ab3a0b941640b9d267.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.67da45b5b00b7ecada4b75cb8578667eebb98b83.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.6524c7ed1108d3815c1642f42e48e4626fd72cac.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a3e63d2c1fcb79166f2e23fc389d74a38175a5c5.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a3e63d2c1fcb79166f2e23fc389d74a38175a5c5.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a3e63d2c1fcb79166f2e23fc389d74a38175a5c5.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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